摘要
采用模糊故障树分析方法,构建施工安全教育培训系统的故障树模型。采用上行法求解故障树顶事件的最小割集,利用德尔菲法结合模糊集理论合理确定底事件发生概率,计算得到故障树顶事件发生概率和底事件的关键重要度。结合各底事件在实际施工中的发生频率,找出系统中的关键管理因素,并提出相应的改进措施。
This paper uses fuzzy fault tree analysis method to build a fault tree model for construction safety education and training system.Then,uses the ascending method to find minimum cut sets of top events and reasonably determines the occurrence rate of bottom events with Delphi method and fuzzy theory.Finally,calculates the occurrence rate of the top events and the critical importance of the bottom events in fault tree,identifies key management factors combined with the actual occurrence frequency of each bottom event,and proposes the corresponding improvement measures.
作者
张伟
张潇
陈曦
赵挺生
ZHANG Wei;ZHANG Xiao;CHEN Xi;ZHAO Tingsheng(School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China)
出处
《工程经济》
2018年第8期33-38,共6页
ENGINEERING ECONOMY
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51308240)
国家重点研发项目(2017YFC0805504)
关键词
施工安全教育培训
关键因素
系统思维
模糊故障树
construction safety education and training
key factor
system thinking
fuzzy fault tree