基于产业波及理论的我国建筑业波及效应研究

Research on the Spreading Effect of China's Construction Industry Based on Industry Spillover Theory

基于产业波及理论,并结合投入产出模型,定量分析我国建筑业的产业波及效应。结果表明:我国建筑业对国民经济其他产业部门的拉动作用较强,而国民经济其他产业部门发展对我国建筑业的推动作用较弱,即影响力较强、制约力较弱,属于比较成熟的行业;建筑业对房地产业、租赁和商务服务业、金融业、其他服务业、运输仓储邮政、信息传输、计算机服务和软件业价格波及程度较大,而对农、林、牧、渔业、食品、饮料制造及烟草制品业价格波及程度较小。

Based on industry spillover theory and input-output model,this paper quantitatively analyzes the industry spillover effect of China＇s construction industry. The results show that China＇s construction industry has a strong driving effect on other sectors of national economy,while the development of other sectors of national economy has a weaker driving effect on China＇s construction industry,that is,it has stronger influence and weaker constraints and belongs to a relatively mature industry. The construction industry has a relatively large degree of spillover on real estate,leasing and business services,finance,other service industries,transportation and warehousing and postal services,information transmission,computer services,and software industries,but it has a small impact on agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fisheries,food,beverage manufacturing and tobacco product prices.