摘要
目的评估肯尼亚裂谷热疫情输入我国的风险以及输入我国后进一步发生本地传播的风险。方法在资料综述、专家咨询的基础上进行定性评估。结果肯尼亚裂谷热疫情输入我国的风险较低。结论预计裂谷热传播的风险总体维持在区域性水平,输入我国的风险较低。如果肯尼亚当地的暴雨和洪水持续不断,疫情在该国甚至在非洲区域传播蔓延的风险会显著升高,继而输入我国的风险会进一步升高。
Objective To assess the risk of Rift Valley fever input and spread in China.Methods Qualitative evaluation on the basis of data summary and expert consultation.Results Rift Valley fever in Kenya epidemic input low risk to some extent in our country.Conclusion The risk of Rift Valley fever transmission is expected to remain at the regional level,and the risk of inputto China is low.If the heavy rains and floods continue in Kenya,which increases the risk of further spread of the outbreak both within Kenya and even in the African region,and then it will increase the risk of inputinto China.
作者
韩辉
齐可嘉
穆金屏
宋亚京
Han Hui;Qi Kejia;Mu Jinping;Song Yajing(Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine（Beijing,100176)
出处
《口岸卫生控制》
2018年第4期15-17,30,共4页
Port Health Control
基金
生物安全监测网络系统集成技术研究(2016YFC1200705)
关键词
传染病疫情风险评估
裂谷热
Communicable disease
Risk assessment
Rift Valley fever
