中国区域旅游业发展不平衡的演变特征研究

A Study of the Evolution Characteristics of the Unbalanced Development of China's Regional Tourism Industry

以旅游总收入为测度指标,采用传统和空间马尔可夫链分析方法,研究了1997—201 5年间中国区域旅游业发展不平衡的演变特征。结果表明:中国区域旅游发展不平衡表现为三大地带内的不平衡显著大于三大地带间的不平衡;区域旅游业发展存在较为稳定的低水平和高水平趋同俱乐部以及显著的空间聚集关联性;区域旅游业发生转移的概率及邻域间的空间溢出效应与邻域间旅游业发展水平紧密相关。

Taking the total tourism income as a measurement index, this paper adopts the traditional and spatial Markov chain analysis method to study the evolution characteristics of the imbalance development of China＇s regional tourism industry from 1997 to 2015. The results show that the imbalance of regional tourism development in China is manifested to be the imbalance in the three major regions being significantly larger than the imbalance between the three regions; the development of regional tourism has relatively stable low-level and high-level convergence clubs and significant spatial clustering correlation. The probability of regional tourism transfer and the spatial spillover effect between the neighboring regions are closely related to the level of tourism development between neighboring regions.