中国高碳产业的低碳转型动力测度

Dynamic Measure of Low-carbon Transformation of China's High-carbon Industry

在系统梳理高碳产业低碳转型动力因素的基础上,按动力来源及具体表征形式对中国高碳产业低碳转型动力属性进行提炼;定义中国高碳产业低碳转型动力构成,构建中国高碳产业低碳转型动力测度评价指标体系;结合中国高碳产业统计数据逐步完善的客观实际,定义改进的模糊测度和Choquet模糊积分,构建中国高碳产业低碳转型动力测度模型,并以典型高碳产业——钢铁产业为例进行实证分析。结果显示,中国钢铁产业低碳转型总体动力现处于"一般"水平,在推动其低碳转型过程中,贡献相对最高的是"内生支撑力",贡献相对最低的是"内生牵引力","外生推力"与"外生拉力"贡献居中,说明"倒逼"推动较之"补贴"推动相对更有效。

Based on the analysis of the dynamic factors of low-carbon transformation of China＇s high-carbon industry,the dynamic attributes of low-carbon transformation of China＇s high-carbon industry are refined according to the dynamic source and specific characterization. The dynamic structure of low-carbon transformation of China＇s high-carbon industry is defined,and the measure index system is established. Combined with the objective reality of statistics continued perfection of China＇s high carbon industry,improved fuzzy measure and Choquet fuzzy integral are defined,and a model for dynamic measure of low-carbon transformation of China＇s high-carbon industry is constructed. Then the typical high carbon industry-steel industry is taken as an example for empirical analysis. The empirical results show that the low-carbon transformation of China＇s steel industry on the whole is general. In process of promoting low-carbon transformation of China＇s high-carbon industry,the relative highest contribution is ＂the endogenous support force＂while the relative lowest contribution is＂the external thrust force＂,the contribution of＂the external pulling force＂and＂the endogenous traction force＂are in the middle,and＂the reversed pushing force＂is more effective than ＂the subsidy pushing mechanism＂.