2018年上半年辽宁省蛋鸡生产形势分析及后期预测

Situation Analysis and Late Forecast of Production of Laying Chickens in Liaoning Province in the First half of 2018

本文以相关部门统计、监测数据和调查研究结果为依据,从生产、销售、市场价格等多个维度深入分析了2018年上半年辽宁省蛋鸡生产形势,并对三季度及下半年鸡蛋行情进行预测。通过分析得出,2018年上半年辽宁省蛋鸡生产形势总体平稳,鸡蛋供给相对稳定,鸡蛋价格遵循季节性变化规律,无剧烈波动,生产效益处于微利区间,预计三季度鸡蛋市场价格或迎来年内高点,但大幅上涨可能性不大。

Based on the statistics, monitoring data and investigation results of relevant de - partments, this paper analyzes the production situation of laying chickens in Liaoning province in the first half of 2018 from the aspects of production, sales and market price, and forecasts the market of eggs in the third quarter and the second half of the year. The results show that in the first half of 2018, the production situation of laying chickens in Liaoning province was gen- erally stable, the supply of eggs was relatively stable, the price of eggs followed seasonal changes and no sharp fluctuations, and the production efficiency was in a slightly higher range. It is expected that the egg market price in the third quarter will usher in the highest point in the year, hut a sharp rise is unlikely.