摘要
本文运用模糊数学的理论方法对汛期径流预报进行了探讨 ,即首先对汛期来水的理论实测资料 ,运用最大树法和软化分法进行了模糊聚类分析 ,得到汛期来水的多个预报模式 ;进而利用Gamma分布和模糊概率的方法 。
The reservoir's long term runoff prediction during flood season be fuzzy mathematical method was studied in this paper.Firstly,by using maximal tree method and soft partition cluster method,the fuzzy cluster analysis was carried out against the observed data of each calendar year during flood season were also built. Then the discharges of coming water during flood season and their realizing probabilities were predicted by means of Gamma distribution and fuzzy probability method. General programs were written for the whole prediction procedure.
出处
《模糊系统与数学》
CSCD
2002年第3期74-80,共7页
Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics
关键词
水库
长期径流预报
模糊数学
最大树法
软划分
聚类
样本
Fuzzy Mathematical
Runoff Prediction
Maximal Tree Method
Soft Partition Cluster Method
Sample
