摘要
基于EKC理论,采用27个省份2009-2014年我国二氧化碳排放量与人均GDP数据,研究我国二氧化碳排放量与人均GDP的关系。结果发现：无论是从27个省份整体,还是依照地域将其分为东部、中部、西部,其二氧化碳排放量与经济发展的曲线关系均满足EKC假说中的倒“U”型曲线,但是其拐点却存在着不同。整体来看,在未来6~7年可以达到相应拐点;东部可能需要在未来8~10年甚至更久才能达到相应的拐点;中部正处于倒“U”型的下降阶段;西部此时接近拐点期。在此基础之上提出了减缓二氧化碳排放量增长、发展低碳经济、提高碳减排技术和能源利用率的建议。
Based on the EKC theory, the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and per capita GDP in China is studied by using the data of China＇s carbon dioxide emissions and per capita GDP in the 27 provinces and autonomous regions from 2009 to 2014. The results found that： no matter we treat the 27 provinces as a whole or divide them into the eastern, central and western regions, the curve of the relationship between its carbon dioxide emissions and economic development meets the EKC hypothesis of inverted ＂U＂ type curve, but there are different inflection points. On the whole, the corresponding inflection points can be reached in the next six to seven years. The east may need eight or ten years to reach a corresponding inflection point; the middle is in the decline phase of inverted ＂U＂; The west is near the turning point. On this basis, proposals to slow the growth of carbon dioxide emissions, develop low-carbon economy, improve carbon emission reduction technologies and energy efficiency are proposed.
作者
王菲
杨雪
田阳
王思鹏
WANG Fei1,2, YANG Xue2, TIAN Yang2, WANG Sipeng3(1.School of Economics and Trade, Zhengzhou Institute of Technology, Zhengzhou Henan 450044, China; 2. School of Management and Economics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou Henan 450046, China; 3.School of Economics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan Hubei 430074, China)
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2018年第10期19-23,共5页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“高危行业员工不安全情绪的预防、控制与疏导——基于情感事件、情绪承受与情绪承载管理的实证研究”(71573086)
河南省高等学校哲学社会科学创新团队支持计划“安全科学与危机管理”(CXTD-2014-10)
郑州工程技术学院引进高层次人才基金项目
