重大工程项目多源索赔冲突信息融合决策的D-S算法

D-S Algorithm for Multi-Source Claim Conflict Information Fusion Decision of Major Project

重大索赔处理往往是多方共同参与决策的过程,多源决策者对重大工程项目索赔干扰事件的判断具备很大的冲突认知随机性,如何科学把握决策对象实质是亟待关注的问题。针对多源冲突情况下的决策信息特性,提出重大工程项目多源索赔冲突信息融合决策框架,分析融合决策的D-S(Dempster-Shafer)算法。研究表明,该方法能够对多源索赔冲突信息进行融合决策,在多源冲突条件下满足各方利益,降低索赔决策对工程进程带来的负面影响。

Major claim handling usually involves multiple decision makers. Each decision maker has great randomness in judging the interference events of major projects. How to scientifically grasp the essence of decision objects is a matter of urgent concern. In view of the characteristics of decision information under multi-source conflict, this paper proposes a decision-making framework for major project multi-source claim conflict information fusion, and analyzes the D-S（Dempster-Shafer） algorithm for fusion decision. The research shows,this method can fuse decision information of multi-source claim conflict. This algorithm can satisfy the interests of all parties under the condition of multi-source conflict and reduce the negative impact of claims decisions on the engineering process.