基于时间序列的京津冀区域物流网络演化分析

Analysis on the Evolution of Regional Logistics Network Based on Time Series in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei

京津冀协同发展是国家的重大发展策略。文章以北京、天津和河北省内共计13个城市1997~2017年的年货运量为依据,引入赫芬达尔系数模型和非均衡分布系数,对京津冀内三大物流区域的演化进程进行实证研究。研究结果表明,以北京—天津为枢纽的双核心轴辐式区域网络结构发展趋势相对明显,提出以京津冀协同管理为契机,重点建设辐射范围内的枢纽核心城市,通过空间重组划分物流区域来带动各城市物流产业的发展,为未来京津冀区域物流网络的建设提供新的发展思路。

The collaborative development of Beijing -Tianjin -Hebei region is a major development strategy of the country. This paper takes the annual freight volume of 13 cities in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei province from 1997 to 2017 as the basis, introduces the Herfindahl index model and standard deviation coefficient to research the evolution process of the three logistics regions in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. The results show that the development trend of the dual core hub-and spoke regional network centered on Beijing-Tianjin is relatively obvious. It is proposed that making Beijing -Tianjin -Hebei collaborative management as an opportunity to focus on the construction of core hub city, within the scope of radiation driven by logistics area space restructuring form city to city logistics industry development, to provide the new development ideas for the future Beijing -Tianjin -Hebei regional logistics network construction.