安倍东亚外交重构的动因与挑战探析

An Initial Analysis of the Motivation and Challenge of Restructuring East Asia Diplomacy by Abe Shinzo

在东亚地区政治格局变迁之时,安倍政府重新定位日本全球角色,在政治、经济、外交、安全等领域均进行了大幅调整。在对外关系中,对美外交仍处于首要位置,对华关系出现回暖,与东盟关系在加强,积极协调日韩关系,对朝关系虽有改善但十分有限。在安全领域,做出解禁集体自卫权、实施安保法案、扩张军力等一系列举动。经济领域主要侧重推进双边、多边自由贸易谈判及能源输出。本文从安倍晋三本人的右翼属性、日本国内逐年的右倾化趋向、中国的崛起和东亚政治格局变迁三个层面分析了日本东亚外交调整背后的动因。安倍政府的政策调整不可避免会遇到一定挑战,同时也将对东亚地区产生一定的消极影响。

At the time when regional political structure in East Asia is undergoing changes, the Abe administration has redefined Japan's global role, and made major adjustment in the fields of politics, economy, diplomacy and security. In Japan's overall diplomacy, the U.S. is put first, relation with China has got warm again after a cold spell, relations with ASEAN countries have been strengthened, relation with the ROK is in positive coordination, and relation with the DPRK has made limited improvement. In security domain, Japan has taken a series of actions, lifting the ban on the right of collective defense, implementing a new security act, and expanding its military power. In economy, Japan has given priority to promoting bilateral and multilateral free trade negotiations and energy export. This paper has analyzed the motivation behind Japan's adjustment of its East Asia diplomacy on three levels, namely the right-wing attribute of Abe Shinzo, the right tilting tendency within Japan, as well as the rise of China and the change of political landscape in East Asia. Policy adjustment made by the Abe administration is bound to meet with certain challenges, while exerting certain negative impacts on East Asia region.