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东北地区金融发展对经济增长的影响因素分析 被引量:7

Analysis of the Influence of Financial Development in Northeast China on Economic Growth
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摘要 对黑龙江、吉林和辽宁2006-2016年的金融与经济发展状况进行现状宏观分析,选取金融与经济发展的测度指标,对相关指标运用协整分析、格兰杰检验、误差修正模型等方法,了解东北地区金融业发展对经济增长的重要影响。结果表明:东北地区金融业发展对经济增长有显著的正向作用;金融相关率、保险深度、固定资产投资额占比均与经济增长存在着长期均衡关系;金融业发展中的金融相关率提高对经济增长的贡献度最大,保险深度与固定资产投资占比对经济增长的影响相差不大。 To understand the impact of financial industry development on economic growth in northeast China, this paper analyzed the status quo of the financial and economic development of the three provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning from 2006 to 2016; Then, the measurement indicators of financial and economic development were selected through the corresponding analysis results; And finally, the indicators were analyzed empirically using methods such as cointegration analysis, Granger test, and error correction model. The results show that: First, the development of regional financial industry has a significant positive effect on economic growth; Second, there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between financial correlation rate, insurance depth, and the proportion of fixed assets investment and economic growth; Third, the development of the financial industry The increase in the financial correlation rate has the largest contribution to economic growth, and the impact of insurance depth and fixed asset investment on economic growth is not much different.
作者 祝志川 翁新新 ZHU Zhi-chuan;WENG Xin-xin(School of Statistics,Jilin University of Finance and Economics,Changchun,Jilin,130117,China)
出处 《牡丹江师范学院学报(社会科学版)》 2018年第5期13-20,共8页 Journal of Mudanjiang Normal University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金 吉林省社会科学基金项目(2016BS13) 吉林省社会科学基金项目(2018B54) 吉林省科技发展计划资助项目(20170520050JH)
关键词 东北地区 金融 经济增长 协整分析 误差修正 Northeast China finance economic growth cointegration analysis
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