中部崛起战略促进了中部经济增长吗?

Does Rise of Central China Strategy Boost a Stronger Economic Growth?

中部崛起战略是我国基于区域经济协调发展目标制定的继西部大开发和振兴东北后的区域发展战略。中部崛起战略的实施是否推动了中部地区经济增长、实现缩小区域经济发展差距的预期目标呢?本文基于2000—2016年的全国地级市面板数据实证检验了中部崛起战略的增长驱动效应。综合面板DID、空间DID、PSM-DID等方法的分析结果,本文发现中部崛起战略的实施提升了中部地区约2%的经济增长速度。机制分析表明这一增长效应来源于产业投资的增加和工业企业的发展。中部崛起战略的实施有效调动了地方政府发展产业的积极性,促使地方政府主动调整政府职能,利用东部产业转型契机积极开展招商引资,吸引产业资本进入,实现了产业经济的快速发展。为进一步加快中部地区发展,建议尽快完善中部崛起战略配套的政策性红利和地区层面的生产扶持政策,规范当前中部地区地方政府的招商引资行为,进一步提升中部地区的产业发展质量。

Rise of Central China Strategy is the third region level development strategy following "Western Development" and "Revitalize the Northeast", which is put forwarded by central government with the purpose of coordinating regional economy of China. Did this strategy stimulate the economic growth in Central China and narrow the development gap between different regions? This article quantitatively tested the economic growth stimulating effect of Rise of Central China Strategy based on the perpetual city data from 2000 to 2016. Comprehensively combine the result of panel DID, spatial DID and PSM DID, this paper got the conclusion that this strategy did exert growth effect and increase the growth speed of about 2% in Central China. Mechanic analysis proved that this economic growth effect derived from higher industry investment and development of industry enterprises. Finally, this article compared with Western Development strategy and explain why this strategy could exert positive effect on local economic growth. This strategy arouses the enthusiasm of local government in central China to develop industry economy. Local government actively change inner resources structure to attract direct investment from the Eastern China and finally achieve fast development of industry economy. This paper recommended that central government should put forward more industry encourage policies attached with this strategy, which could be helpful to the attracting investment behavior of local government and improvement of industry quality.