旅游产业经济效应的有效性评价

Effectiveness Evaluation of Economic Effect of the Tourism Industry Development

对旅游产业经济效应有效性研究,保证旅游产业发展的科学性,有助于合理配置旅游资源,调节市场矛盾。基于2000-2015年全国31个省份的旅游面板数据,构建旅游产业经济效应评估体系,通过Granger因果检验、回归分析,分析旅游产业发展状况各变量对区域旅游产业的影响程度,结果发现:旅游收入在一定程度上能够促进经济增长,且国内旅游收入贡献度大于国外旅游收入;旅行社个数对地区经济增长的贡献度仅次于国内旅游收入,旅游就业对地区经济增长的贡献度较小。这为旅游产业发展提供了有价值的政策启示。

The effectiveness of the economic effect of the tourism industry- development is studied to ensure the scientific and effec- tive development of the tourism industry-, which will help to realize the rational allocation of tourism resources and adjust the market contradictions. Based on the tourism panel data of 31 provinces from 2000 to 2015, this paper constructs the evaluation system of the economic effect of tourism industry-. Through the Granger causality- test and regression analysis, this paper analyzes the ilffluence degree of various variables on the regional economy in the development of tourism in- dustry-. The following conclusions are drawn： tourism income can promote economic growth to a certain extent, and the contribution degree of domestic tourism income is greater than that of foreign tourism income ; the contribution of travel a- gencies to regional economic growth is second to domestic tourism income, then the location optimization effect refers to the standard factor, tourism employment is to the regional economy, but the effect of promotion is small, which put the suggestions to strengthen the tourism industry- development.