中国西部地区能源开发与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于资源诅咒假说

An empirical study on the relationship between energy development and economic growth in Western China:Based on the resource curse hypothesis

结合西部地区能源开发和经济增长的实际情况,利用1990—2015年西部地区省级面板数据验证我国西部地区资源诅咒是否存在。结果证明:在西部大开发之前,我国西部地区资源诅咒效应显著存在,能源开发对制造业和固定资产投资产生了严重的挤出效应;实施西部大开发以后,随着国家对西部投资力度的加大,这种以政府基础设施投资为主导的开发模式可以在短时间内带来经济的快速增长,资源诅咒的影响表面上消失,但西部大开发对研发投入的挤出效应非常严重,这在一定程度上会影响西部地区经济的长期增长。最后,针对西部地区能源开发的现实,提出破解资源诅咒的对策,以期实现西部地区经济的可持续发展。

Based on the actual situation of energy development and economic growth in Western China,this paper uses the provincial panel data from 1990 to 2015 in the western region to verify the existence of resource curse in China. The results show that before the development of the western region,the curse effect of resources in the western region of China was significant,and energy development had a serious crowding out effect on manufacturing and fixed asset investment. After the implementation of the western development,with the increase of state investment in the west,this development model led by government infrastructure investment can bring rapid economic growth in a short period of time,and the impact of the resource curse disappears on the surface.However,the crowding out effect of western development on RD investment is very serious,which will affect the long-term growth of the western region to a certain extent. Finally,this paper proposes some countermeasures to crack the resource curse in order to achieve sustainable economic development in the western region.