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成都平原生态景区出游行为的天气影响定量分析——以成都市白鹭湾生态公园为例

Quantitative Analysis of Weather Effects of Travel Behavior in Chengdu Plain Ecological Scenic Area——A Case Study of the Egret Bay Ecological Park in Chengdu
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摘要 本文在参考前人对生态旅游景区影响因素的研究基础上,结合调查问卷获取的不同条件下游客出游意愿数据,使用Logistic模型定量分析影响生态旅游景区的天气因素。结果显示,以白鹭湾生态公园为例建立的数学模型表明该地的游客出游意愿与"晴雨天气"呈明显正相关,与"空气质量AQI值"呈明显负相关。而"温度"、"风况"因素则由于成都地理位置原因对出行意愿影响并不明显。旅游管理者可根据该模型为景区的规划建设提供科学的依据。 The paper analyzes the weather factors affecting eco-tourism scenic spots using Logistic model based on the data obtained from the questionnaire.The mathematical model established in Egret Bay Ecological Park showed that the tourist travel intention was positively correlated with the "sunny weather" and negatively correlated with the AQI.The factors of "temperature" and "wind condition" have no obvious influence on the willingness to travel due to the geographical location of Chengdu.According to the model,tourism managers can provide scientific basis for the planning and construction of scenic spots.
作者 杨蕾 李庆一 苑全治 YANG Lei, LI Qingyi, YUAN Quanzhi(College of Geography and Resoures Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu, Sichuan 61010)
出处 《科教导刊》 2018年第28期186-187,190,共3页 The Guide Of Science & Education
关键词 生态旅游 定量分析 LOGISTIC模型 ecotourism quantitative analysis Logistic model
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