摘要
为了准确地反映可再生能源开发决策评价中主观判断的不确定性,运用模糊综合层次分析法将可再生能源开发决策过程中的各种指标进行定量化处理,提出了可再生能源发电产业综合评价指标体系,介绍了模糊综合层次分析法的评价步骤,并应用于唐山市可再生能源开发决策中.结果表明,唐山市应重点开发风能,其次是太阳能和生物质能,有选择地发展水能.其研究结果符合区域实际情况,能够为唐山市可再生能源发电产业的发展提供理论支持.
In order to exactly reflect the uncertainty of subjective judgement existing in the evaluation of renewable energy power industry, fuzzy comprehensive analytical hierarchy process is exerted to the decision process of renewable energy exploitation in which can quanti- tatively deal with a number of indexes. Based on the approach, this paper builds an evaluation index system of renewable energy power industry and applies it into the decision evaluation of renewable energy development in Tangshan City. The results indicate that the development of wind energy should be exploited ahead of other renewable energy, followed by solar energy, biomass energy and hydroenergy. It is not only in accordance with regional conditions, but also can provide support for the development of renewable energy power industry in Tangshan City.
作者
甄纪亮
刘政平
武传宝
黄国和
ZHEN Ji-liang;LIU Zheng-ping;WU Chuan-bao;HUANG Guo-he(School of Science,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing 100044,China;Development Research Center of the Ministry of Water Resources of P.R.China,Beijing 100038,China;College of Economics and Management,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao 266590,China;Energy and Environmental Research Center,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2018年第20期10-16,共7页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
北京市属高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(X18015)
关键词
可再生能源
模糊综合层次分析法
指标体系
决策评价
Renewable energy
fuzzy comprehensive analytical hierarchy process
index sys-tem
decision evaluation