深圳产业结构调整的理论与实证研究

Theory and Empirical Research on the Industrial Restructuring in Shenzhen

本文首先提出深圳面临的“土地、资源、人口和环境”四个“难以为继”的问题；其次根据产业结构优化调整，综合考虑国家有关政策规定与学术成果以及数据的可获得性等，提出以下五条标准：即生产效率标准、利税贡献标准、资源消耗标准、环境友好标准、产业关联度标准，我们认为劳动生产效率越高、人均利税贡献越大、资源消耗越少、污染越少、产业关联度越高、技术进步越快的产业，就是优质度越高的产业，反之，就是劣质产业；最后对深圳产业结构变动合意和不合意进行实证研究，并得出相关的政策建议。

This paper first puts forward the four problems of ＂ unsustainable hnd, resources, population and environment＂ Shenzhen faces. Secondly, on the industrial structure optimization principle, also with a comprehensive consideration for relevant state policies and academic achievements and data availability, etc., this paper puts forward the following five standards： production efficiency, profit and tax contribution, resource consumption, environment-friendliness, and the industrial relevancy. And in our view, a superior industry should be like this： it is of higher labor productivity, higher per capita profit tax contribution, less resource consumption, less pollution, greater industrial relevancy and faster technological progress; otherwise, it is an inferior industry. Finally, we will do some empirical research on the desirability of Shenzhen＇s industrial restructuring in order to make suggestions about relevant policies.