杭温高铁开通对金丽温铁路的客流影响分析

Analysis of Passenger Flow Impact on Jinliwen Railway after the Opening of Hangzhou-Wenzhou High-speed Railway

杭温高铁和金丽温铁路在浙中东地区内走向基本平行,杭温高铁的开通将分流金丽温铁路上的部分客流,特别是杭州至温州、福建方向的客流。以杭州至温州为例,首先从出行时效性方面分析出行路径和出行时间,得到最佳出行路径,在此基础上,结合杭温高铁建成时段,采用交通四阶段法和有无对比法,分析杭温高铁建成后对金丽温铁路客流的影响。

TheHangzhou-Wenzhou High-speed railway and Jinliwen railway are basically parallel to the railway in the Middle east of Zhejiang Province, and the opening of Hangzhou-Wenzhou High-speed railway will divert some of the passenger flow on the Jinli Wen railway, especially the passenger flow in the direction of Hangzhou to Wenzhou and to Fujian.Taking Hangzhou to Wenzhou as an example, thispaper first analyzes travel time and travel path from the travel timeliness, andgets the best travel path.On this basis, combined with the construction periodof Hangzhou-Wenzhou High-speed railway,the influence of Hangzhou-Wenzhou High-speed railway on the passenger flow of Jinli Wen railway is analyzed by using thefour phase method of traffic and the method of comparison.