信用违约互换市场:十年间的变化

The Credit Default Swap Market:What a Difference a Decade Makes

过去十年中,全球信用违约互换(CDS)市场的规模和结构均发生了显著变化。本文记录了CDS市场未清偿金额的下降情况、集中清算的增加以及潜在信用风险敞口的演变。分析发现,由于标准化指数产品及其通过中央对手方进行清算的增加,CDS合约的净额结算也随之增加,并进而导致交易对手风险进一步降低;潜在信用风险已转移至拥有较高信用评级的主权证券和参考证券投资组合;信用风险在各个交易对手类别中的分布大致保持不变。

Over the last decade, the size and structure of the global credit default swap（CDS） market have changed markedly. With the help of the BIS derivatives statistics, we document how outstanding amounts have fallen, central clearing has risen and the composition of underlying credit risk exposures has evolved. Netting of CDS contracts has increased, due to the combination of a higher share of standardized index products and the clearing of such contracts via central counterparties. In turn, this has led to a further reduction in counterparty risk. Underlying credit risks have shifted towards sovereigns and portfolios of reference securities with better credit ratings. The distribution of credit risks across counterparty categories has remained broadly unchanged