收缩的挑战:扩张型社会的终结还是调适的开始?

Shrinking Challenge:The End of an Expanding Society or the Beginning of Adjustment?

为探讨我国城市出现的收缩现象，引进了城市收缩的概念体系，通过文献回顾发现诞生于西方发达国家情境下的城市收缩概念体系并不完全适用于中国情境，因此提出社会收缩的概念加以替代。在此基础上。按照社会收缩概念对我国城市和乡村聚落中收缩现象的总体状况、主要动因和表现形式进行分析，总结了我国社会收缩的“4个多”的基本特征：多种收缩并存、多种悖论并存、多种驱动要素互动和多重调整因子动态交织。在借鉴国内外社会收缩治理经验的基础上，提出我国社会收缩治理面临规划、技术、基础设施和时间经济4大挑战。最后，提出实现发展范式转变，实施社会收缩治理的调适模型，该模型建立在公众参与的多中心治理基础上，通过消解社会收缩的驱动因子或打断收缩过程，最终实现“精明收缩”。

The objective of this paper is to illustrate and examine the phenomenon of social shrinkage in China. Though this paper,we find that the concept of Shrinking city in western developed countries is not completely suitable for China. So we proposes to use Shrinking Social instead of Shrinking city in the Chinese context. After defining the concept of Shrinking Social,the paper analyzes the overall situation,driving force and basic characteristics of social shrinkage in China. And China’s shrinking social has four characteristics and four challenges. Finally,an adaptive model is proposed to realize the transformation of development paradigm and the implementation of social shrinkage governance. Based on the multi-center governance with public participation,this model realizes "smart shrinkage" by eliminating the driving factors of social shrinkage or interrupting the shrinking process.