大宗商品价格影响因素及分类型比较研究

A Study on the factors Affecting Commodity Price and Comparison between Different Types

大宗商品价格影响因素可分为基本供求因素、金融市场因素、政策因素及其他因素。不同类型大宗商品特性存在差异,其价格影响因素差异较大：农产品价格主要受基本供求因素影响,短期看供给,长期看需求;工业品价格主要受基本供求因素影响,政策因素影响也较大,金融因素影响越来越不容忽视;能源矿产价格主要取决于基本供求因素,金融因素对其影响较大;贵金属价格主要取决于金融因素。

The commodity prices are important signals reflecting macroeconomic conditions.The main influencing factors of commodity prices include basic supply and demand factors, financial market factors, policy factors and other factors. Different types of commodities have different characteristics. The prices of agricultural products are mainly affected by the basic supply and demand factors.The price of industrial products is mainly affected by the basic supply and demand factors, but the influence of policy factors is also great, the impact of financial factors more and more can not be ignored.Energy and mineral prices mainly depend on the basic supply and demand factors, financial factors have a greater impact on them. Lastly, precious metals prices depend mainly on financial factors.