服务业发展对中国制造业出口国内增加值的影响研究

The Impact of Service Industry Development on the Domestic Value Added of China's Manufacturing Export

基于产业关联的视角,以制造业出口企业为研究样本,并结合投入产出表,研究中国服务业发展对制造业出口国内增加值率的影响。估计结果表明:(1)总体而言,服务业发展对制造业出口国内增加值率有显著为正的影响;(2)分行业来看,不同技术密集度制造业出口国内增加值率受服务业整体发展程度的影响呈现很大差异,且服务各细分行业发展对制造业出口国内增加值的影响也不一样;(3)分地区来看,服务业发展有利于各区域具有比较优势制造业出口国内增加值率的上升。根据以上结论,提出了因地制宜发展服务业以促进中国对外贸易转型升级的政策建议。

From the perspective of industrial relationship,this paper takes manufacturing export enterprises as samples and analyzes the impact of service industry development on the domestic values added of export（ EXDVA） in combination with input-output table. The results of the study show that： 1） the development of China’s service industry has significant positive impact on the EXDVA; 2） on industry level,the rate of domestic value added of manufacturing export exhibits great difference in the extent to which it is influenced by the overall development of service industry for enterprises with different technology concentration. And the impact on domestic value added of manufacturing export also varies in different segments of service industry; 3） on the regional level,the development of service industry is conducive to the rise of EXDVA of industries with comparative advantage. According to these research findings,the paper suggests that China should take into consideration the local conditions in the development of service industry so as to enhance the upgrading and transforming of China’s foreign trade.