孔子学院对“一带一路”沿线国家贸易便利化影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Influence of Confucius Institute on the Trade Facilitation of the Countries Along the “Belt and Road”

分别使用两种贸易便利化指标的测算办法,利用差分GMM和系统GMM两种估计方法考察了孔子学院对"一带一路"沿线国家贸易便利化的影响。研究发现:孔子学院可以减少两国地理或文化距离的负面影响,提高"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易便利化;孔子学院可以通过影响中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的直接投资和对外贸易等因素促进其贸易便利化的提高;孔子学院对"一带一路"沿线国家贸易便利化的推动作用有着明显的区域差异性。所以,我国应注重加强与"一带一路"沿线国家的双边文化交流和中华文化的传播,通过孔子学院助力"一带一路"沿线国家贸易便利化的提高。

Adopting two measures of trade facilitation indicators and differential GMM and system GMM,this paper examines the impact of Confucius Institutes on the trade facilitation of countries along the Belt and Road. The findings are as follows： First,Confucius Institutes can reduce the negative impact of geographical or cultural distance between the two countries and enhance trade facilitation in countries along the Belt and Road. Second,the Confucius Institute can promote trade facilitation by affecting China’s foreign trade with and direct investment in countries along the Belt and Road. Third,there are obvious regional differences in the impetus of Confucius Institutes in trade facilitation of countries along the Belt and Road. Therefore,China should put emphasis on strengthening bilateral cultural exchanges with the countries along the＂Belt and Road＂and on promoting national trade facilitation along the＂Belt and Road＂through the Confucius Institute.