教育部门的投入溢出效应分析——基于投入产出法的计算

Spillover Effect Analysis of the Investment to Education Sector:An Input——Output Analysis

论文运用2007和2012年中国投入产出表测算增加教育部门投入对产业部门带来的溢出效应。研究结果表明:第一,从总量上看,2012年教育部门每亿元投入对国民经济其他部门所产生的直接和间接溢出效应较2007年有明显的下降;第二,从结构上看,2012年教育部门每亿元投入对金融业、信息产业、科学研究和技术服务业、房地产等产业所产生的直接和间接溢出效应较2007年显著提升;第三,从吸纳就业看,教育部门每亿元投入所直接和间接吸纳的劳动力就业数量在42个产业部门中位居前列。论文对教育部门投入溢出效应下降的原因进行了分析,并对溢出效应较高的相关部门进行了讨论,提出了若干政策建议。

This paper,with data from China＇s 2007-2012 Input-Output table,estimates the spill-over effect of education sector investment on the industrial sectors.It reveals three phenomena.First,the overall direct and indirect spill-over effects of per 100 million RMB investment to education sector on other industrial sectors decreased significantly from 2007 to 2012.Second,for specific industries,the spill-over effects increased considerably in finance,information industry,scientific research and technology services,and real estate.Third,the amount of direct and indirect employment positions created by per 100 million RMB investment is highest in the education sector among the 42 industrial departments.This paper further discusses the reasons for the decline of the input spill-over effect of the education sector,analyses departments with higher spill-over effect,and proposes some policy implications based on the analysis.