基于模糊层次分析法的反恐装备体系作战效能评估

Evaluation of Operational Effectiveness of Anti-terrorism Equipment System Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

目的评估反恐装备体系作战效能,找准与"国际一流反恐特战劲旅"的差距,为反恐装备体系建设发展方向提供理论支撑。方法从反恐任务出发,提出了基于"六种能力"为目标的反恐装备体系,建立了反恐装备体系作战效能评估指标体系,运用模糊层次分析法(FAHP)确定指标体系权重,设立定性指标、建立模糊评判矩阵。结果反恐装备体系的作战效能E=76.267,评估结果为一般,符合部队实际。结论虽然反恐部队编配了不少的先进装备,但指挥控制、精确打击、排爆等装备的技术性能还要不断提高,评估结果与实际情况符合。

Objective To evaluate the operational effectiveness of the anti-terrorism equipment system, find out the gap be-tween it and the ＂international first-class special counter-terrorism brigade＂, and provide theoretical support for the development direction of the anti-terrorism equipment system. Methods In allusion to the anti-terrorism mission, an anti-terrorism equipment system based on the goal of ＂six kinds of forces＂ was proposed. An anti-terrorism equipment operational effectiveness evalua-tion index system was established. The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP） was applied to determine the weights of index system, set up the qualitative indicators and establish fuzzy evaluation matrix. Results The combat effectiveness of the an-ti-terrorism equipment system： E=76.267, and the evaluation result was general. It was in line with the actual situation of the troops. Conclusion Although the anti-terrorism forces were allocated with a lot of advanced equipment, but the command and control, precision, and technical performance of vehicle equipment need to be improved continuously. The evaluation results are in good agreement with the actual situation.