摘要
在分析当前形势下军地联动应急指挥行动特点的基础上,梳理了军地联动指挥体系在指挥时间、地点、指挥处置对象及指挥运行模式等方面存在的不确定性现象,针对有价值的不确定性应着手利用发挥其价值,而对负相关的不确定性则着手消除的要求,提出了管理军地联动应急指挥体系中不确定性的基本思路:风险感知、经验消除、全方位合作和以流动性对冲不确定性。
On the basis of analyzing the characteristics of the military-land joint emergency command operation under thecurrent situation, it sorts out the uncertainties in the practice of the military-land joint command system in terms of practicecommand time, location, command and disposal targets, and command operation mode. The uncertainty of value should beused to take advantage of the value of the negative correlation and the uncertainty of the negative correlation. This paper putsforward the basic idea of managing the uncertainty in the military-land joint emergency command system: risk perception, experience elimination, all-round cooperation and hedging uncertainty with liquidity.
作者
李功淼
何红悦
张斌
王勇
吴春晓
LI Gong-miao;HE Hong-yue;ZHANG Bin;WANG Yong;WU Chun-xiao(College of Command and Control Engineering,The Army Engineering University of PLA,Nanjing 210007,China)
出处
《指挥控制与仿真》
2018年第6期16-19,共4页
Command Control & Simulation
基金
国家重点研发计划(2018YFC0806900
2016YFC0800310)
中国工程院重点咨询研究项目(2017-XZ-05)
国家社会科学基金项目(15BGL223
HBGL217)
关键词
军地联动
指挥体系
不确定性
危机管理
military and government linkage
command system
uncertainty
crisis management