共享经济与旅游业互动发展的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Interactive Development of Shared Economy and Tourism

选取2004-2016年我国范围内的旅游共享经济数据,以旅游总花费作为衡量旅游业发展的主要指标,国内分享住宿交易规模和短租自驾作为衡量旅游共享经济的指标,利用协整和格兰杰因果检验方法对三者之间的关系进行了实证分析。研究表明,三者存在长期稳定的关系;旅游业的发展会促进分享住宿交易规模的扩大;短租自驾对旅游业发展具有积极的促进作用。

According to the tourism-sharing economic data in China in the 2004-2016, this research takes the total cost of tourism as the main index to measure the development of tourism, the domestic shared accommodation scale and the short-term self-driving as the index to measure the tourism shared economy, and makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the three by using the cointegration and Granger causality test method. The research indicates that there exists a long-term and stable relationship between the total cost of tourism, the domestic shared accommodation scale and the short rent self-driving, and the development of tourism will promote the expansion of the sharing of accommodation transactions; short-term self-driving will play an active role in promoting tourism development.