海底天然气水合物开发的前景研究——基于经济可行性的视角

Future Prospects of Marine Gas Hydrate:Insights from Economic Potential

海底天然气水合物的开发利用对于国家能源安全与环境保护具有重要意义。然而,作为一种新型深海能源,海底天然气水合物至今仍未实现商业化生产。除开发技术等因素外,天然气水合物开发投入、产出的成本问题也是制约海底天然气水合物大规模开发的另一关键因素。文章从经济可行性的视角分析海底天然气水合物目前开采成本、未来开采成本的变化以及未来的价格优势,从而对天然气水合物开发的前景进行相关研究。研究结果显示,虽然目前天然气水合物的开采成本要高于常规天然气,但随着今后开采技术的改进,天然气水合物开采的总成本、边际成本和平均成本都会相应降低,当天然气水合物的价格低于常规天然气价格时,天然气水合物的商业化生产便可能实现。

The exploitation and ergy security and environ hydrate has not yet been mental protectio lized. and its impact of gas hydrate is of great significance to the national en n. However,as a new type of deep sea energy,marine gas In addition to technical problems and the possible signif on climate and seafloor stability,the cost is another key factor that restricts the commercialized production.In this paper,the economic potential of the gas hydrate was analyzed.The results showed the investment and cost of gas hydrate is more than the traditional oil and gas resources. Conventional gas will become scarce, resulting increasing prices for conventional gas. At the same time, it can be expected that the production cost of gas from hy drate will gradually decrease due to technological develop hydrate matches that of conventional gas, it will be ment.When the price of the cheapest gas lly worthwhile to begin producing methane from gas hydrate.