世界女子柔道竞技实力发展趋势及启示

About the development trend and enlightment of world women judo competitive strength

采用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析法,对第25～31届奥运会女子柔道奖牌洲际与国家归属进行动态分析,结果显示:奖牌走向趋于分散,竞争日趋激烈;欧洲与南美洲不断崛起,亚洲实力将被削弱;日本、法国将引领女子柔坛;中国、古巴复苏面临挑战。为此,建议我国女子柔道不断革新训练体系,以适应女子柔道竞争的新趋势;有效培养我国女子柔道后备人才。

By using the methods of documentation, mathematical statistics and logical analysis, this paper dynamically analyzes women＇s Judo medals from the 25th to 31st Olympic Games. The main conclusions are as Follow： the medal tend is on decentralization and the competition is increasingly fierce; there may be the rise of Europe and South America and the decline of Asia strength; meanwhile Japan and France will lead the women＇s judo world, and the recovery of China and Cuba is facing the challenge. It gives some suggestions that Chinese women judo constantly innovate training system to adapt to the new trend and effectively develop our reserve talents.