区域科技金融生态系统的动态综合评价

Dynamic comprehensive evaluation of regional sci-tech financial ecosystem

基于生态学理论,将＂科技金融生态系统＂划分为群落子系统和环境子系统两个部分,分析了科技金融生态系统的层次结构,并依此构建科技金融生态系统评价指标体系;以2009-2015年我国28个省的统计数据,基于速度特征视角,运用突变级数法和动态综合评价模型,对我国区域科技金融生态系统进行静态和动态综合评价。结果显示：我国科技金融生态系统整体发展水平较高,促进科技金融发展的工作取得了显著成效。其中,东部经济区科技金融生态系统发展水平远高于全国平均水平,绝大多数省份具有较强的抵抗力稳定性,但各区域动态发展趋势具有较大差异;中部经济区的科技金融生态系统发展水平及稳定性处于全国平均水平,但动态评价结果呈现出明显的两极分化现象;西部经济区科技金融生态系统的发展水平较低,但具有较强的恢复力稳定性和动态增长趋势。

Based on the theory of ecology,sci-tech financial ecosystem can divided into two parts：community subsystem and environment subsystem.Analyzed the hierarchical structure of sci-tech financial ecosystem,and built evaluation index system of sci-tech financial ecosystem.Using statistical data of Chinese 28 provinces from 2009 to 2015,based on the Perspective of velocity characteristics and mutation progression method and dynamic comprehensive evaluation model,evaluated Chinese sci-tech financial ecosystem from static and dynamic aspect.The results show that Chinese sci-tech financial ecosystem has a high level of development.About different economic zone,development level on eastern economic zone is much higher than the national average,most provinces have stronger resistance stability,but the trend of regional dynamic development is quite different;the development level and stability in central economic zone is the same as national average level,but the dynamic evaluation results show obvious polarization;it has a low development level of sci-tech financial ecosystem in western economic zone,but it has strong recovery force stability and dynamic growth tendency.