中国林业产业集聚影响因素作用机制的实证研究——基于空间杜宾模型

Empirical Study on Mechanism of Factors Influencing Chinese Forestry Industrial Agglomeration——Based on Spatial Durbin Model(SDM)

林业产业集聚有利于林业产业健康快速发展,研究林业发展离不开对林业产业集聚的研究。我国林业产业集聚特征显著,通过区位商、莫兰指数测度,各省林业产业集聚表现出空间相关性特征。依据我国30个省份2005—2016年林业产业统计资料,采用空间杜宾模型进行分析。结果表明:本地和临近地区的已有林业产业基础对林业产业集聚影响显著,劳动力资源条件同样显著,自然资源因素不显著,而交通基础设施因素产生负向显著影响。将SDM模型与OLS、FE、SAR、SEM等模型的结果分别进行对比分析,认为基于SDM模型的结论更加可信,并据此提出了相关建议。

Forestry industrial agglomeration contributed to the healthy and rapid development of forestry industry,and these two aspects linked together. By using LQ and Moran＇s I,the forestry industry agglomeration of the 30 provinces in China showed spatial correlation. Based on the 2005-2016 Chinese forestry statistical data and the Spatial Durbin Model（ SDM）,this paper got the following conclusions. Forestry industrial agglomeration of one region was affected by forestry industry former scale of local and neighborhood,it did not only in direction but in degree. The human resource condition had a similar influence. Natural resource factor had no significant impact but transportation infrastructure factor influenced it negatively. This paper analyzed results of the SDM,OLS,FE,SAR and SEM model etc. By contrast with other models,the results of the SDM model were more credible,and thereby suggestions were put forward.