人工智能发展中的哲学问题——评吉利斯对概率解释的哲学思考

Philosophical Problems in the Development of Artificial Intelligence——remarks on philosophical thinking of Gillies's explanation on probability

人工智能的发展导致了概率理论尤其是贝叶斯网络理论的显著改革,这些改革冲击着科学哲学的3个中心问题:贝叶斯主义与非贝叶斯主义的争论;概率的解释;因果性和概率的关系。吉利斯对这些问题进行了哲学的探讨,他认为,客观概率的使用符合波普尔的统计测验方法,而主观概率的使用符合贝叶斯形式的方法。

The development of artificial intelligence leads to the significant reformations in probability theory,especially,Gillies network theory.These reformations impact the three central problems in scientific philosophy:argument between Bayesian and Non-Bayesian;explanations on probability;and the relationship between cause and effect and probability.Gillies conducts discussions on these problems and holds that the use of objective probability accord with Poper statistical testing method while subject probability accords with Bayesian formal method.