福建省对外贸易发展与港口物流效率提升的互动效应实证研究——以福建自贸区建设为背景

Empirical Study on Interactive Effects Between Foreign Trade Development and Port Logistics Efficiency Improvement in Fujian

以福建自贸区建设为背景,基于福建省1981—2014年度数据,采用VAR模型的脉冲响应分析和方差分解,对进出口贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应进行实证研究。结果表明,港口物流效率的提升加快了进出口贸易的发展,这种效应在短期内就能实现,而且长期保持正向作用;而对外贸易的增长对港口物流效率的提升仅限于短期效应且影响有限。

This paper conducts empirical studies on the interactive effects between foreign trade and modern port logistics development by using VAR model. The results show that the growth of import and export goods benefits from modern port logistic efficiency improvement in the short term and long run. But the promotion effect on modern port logistics by foreign trade growth is not significant and only in the short term.