一个新的多目标决策方法—可能度满意度法

A NEW MULTI—OBJECTIVE DECISION METHOD——POSSIBILITY AND SATISFACTION APPROACH

本文在研究多目标决策中,引进了可能度和满意度的概念,并进行了定量描述、采用其并合成某个相关属性的可能度满意度的方法,根据总体可能满意度曲线出现的峰值位置,对研究问题作结论、为决策提供依据,在讨论转折点的估计偏差对可能满意度的影响时,对灵敏度进行了分析。文中还以山西煤炭能源产运能力作为实例,运用本文公式进行了分析,说明本文所采用的方法是有效的。

In this paper the concept of possibility and the concept of satisfactionare both introduced, and the quantitative description of the two concepts isgiven in the study of multi-objective decision. By adopting the method ofcombining the two concepts into 'possibility and satisfaction' of some relativeproperty of an object and accoreling to the peak position of the totalpssibility and satisfaction, the conclusion can be drawn as to the studiedproblem, and reliable bases can be provided for making decision. Finally,the authors use the formula given in the paper to analyse the capacity ofproduction and transportation of coal energy in Shanxi province.