隐性经济视角下环境规制对环境污染的影响——基于浙江省经验证据的分析

Influences of environment regulation on environment pollution from the perspective of Hidden Economy: an analysis based on Zhejiang Province

为考察近年来以持续高速增长的环境投资治理费用为代表的环境规制政策对环境污染的影响,从隐性经济视角出发,以浙江省为研究对象,采用多指标多原因模型测算了浙江省2003-2016年各地级市的隐性经济规模,进而构建了包括环境污染滞后项在内的动态面板模型,并运用广义矩估计就浙江省环境规制在隐性经济作用下对环境污染的影响进行了实证检验。结果显示:环境规制对环境污染有着显著的直接抑制作用;隐性经济会恶化生态环境,并在一定程度上扭曲环境规制对环境污染原有的影响路径,降低环境规制的政策绩效。

In order to investigate the influence of environmental regulation on environmental pollution in recent years,which is represented by the sustainable high-speed growth of environmental investment,this essay,from the perspective of hidden economy,takes Zhejiang Province as the research object and uses Multiple Indicator Multiple Cause Model(MIMIC)to measure the hidden economic scale in Zhejiang Province from 2003 to 2016.Then it constructs the Dynamic Panel Model with Generalized Method of Moments(GMM).The results show that:Environmental regulation has a significant direct inhibitory effect on environmental pollution;The size of hidden economy improves the environmental pollution positively;The hidden economy distorts the influence path of environmental regulation to environmental pollution.