制造业集聚对军民融合产业发展的双重效应研究

The Research of Double Effect of Manufacturing Agglomeration on the Development of Civil-Military Integration Industry

军民融合是中国统筹经济建设和国防建设的重要国家战略,发展军民融合产业是各级地方政府的重要任务之一。本文基于制造业集聚的双重效应,构建了制造业集聚影响军民融合产业发展的理论框架,利用中国省际面板数据实证检验了制造业集聚对军民融合产业发展的影响。结果发现:制造业集聚与军民融合产业呈现倒'U'形关系,且当制造业集聚水平越高、集聚的技术要素密集程度越大、地区技术势差越小和技术溢出渠道越多时这种倒'U'形关系越稳健。另外,制造业集聚对军转民和民参军行业都同样表现为倒'U'形影响,但后者的拐点值更大。本文的研究对厘清制造业集聚影响制军民融合产业发展的作用机制以及制造业集聚背景下如何快速推进军民融合产业发展具有重要的意义。

Civil-military integration is an important national strategy to guide China’s economic development and national defense construction,and the development of civil-military integration industry is one of the important tasks for local governments at all levels.This paper constructs the theoretical framework of the influence of manufacturing agglomeration on the development of civil-military integration industry based on the dual effect of manufacturing agglomeration.Then we empirically tests whether manufacturing agglomeration promotes the development of civil-military integration industry by using the Chinese provincial panel data.The results show that there are inverted'U'-shape relationship between manufacturing industry agglomeration and civil-military integration industry.When the agglomeration degree of manufacturing industry is stronger,the concentration of technological factors is more intensive,the smaller the regional technical potential and the more channels of technology spillover,the more robust the inverted'U'-shape relationship is.Besides,it shows that the manufacturing industry agglomeration effect on the'military-into-civilian'and'civilian enterprises entering into military production'is a reversed'U'-shape relationship,but the impact of manufacturing agglomeration on'civilian enterprises entering into military production'industry’s inverted u-shape inflection point is greater.The research of this paper is of great significance to clarify the mechanism of the agglomeration of the manufacturing industry impacting on civil-military integration and promote the rapid development of civil-military integration industry under the background of manufacturing agglomeration.