广东省24～144小时降水概率回归预报

24 - 144hr Precipitation Forecast using Probability Regression in Guangdong

本文利用欧洲中心10年(1980～1989年)物理量资料,建立了广东省86站1～12月的晴、雨及有无大于25mm降水完全概率回归预报方程。并利用T106逐日要素场预报资料,作24～144小时逐日滚动降水概率回归预报,并逐日上网做指导预报,供广东省各台站调用。

Using ten Year data of ECWMF during 1980- 1989, the rainfall equations of ≥0.1mm and ≥ 25mm were set up in Guangdong' s every station by using the method of probability regression forecast.The 24 -144hr precipitation forecast products by probability regression can be obtained every day using the daily T106 products in net,and then put into the α2000,so that every station in Guangdong Province can get it.