宁夏地区居民伤害的流行病学趋势研究

The trend of injury epidemic in Ningxia

目的 研究宁夏居民伤害死亡的流行学特征和死亡率的长期时间趋势。方法 采用宁夏疾病监测系统中 2 0世纪 90年代的人口学资料和死亡资料 ,死亡率的时间趋势分析采用线性回归统计模型。结果 10年间宁夏居民伤害死亡率上升了 2 8 2 2 % ,其全死因顺位上升至第 3位 ;1999年导致伤害死亡的前 4位死因是交通事故、自杀、溺水和中毒 ;死亡率时间趋势不尽相同 ,总伤害死亡率、交通事故死亡率、自杀死亡率呈上升趋势 ,溺水死亡率呈下降趋势 ,预测至 2 0 0 5年 ,自杀将成为宁夏居民伤害死因第 1顺位。结论 伤害是影响宁夏居民健康和生命的主要危险因素 ,且存在长期时间趋势。应重点对交通事故、自杀、溺水和意外中毒实施有效的研究、预防和控制。

Objective To study the epidemiological transition of injuries in Ningxia Methods Demographic and mortality data during 1990s in Ningxia were collected and analyzed for temporal trend with linear regression model Results During the past decade, mortality of injury raised by 28 22% among the residents in Ningxia and ranked the 3rd place in the causes of deaths In 1999, the top four leading causes of injury deaths were traffic accident, suicide, drowning and poisoning Overall injury mortality and mortalities of traffic accident and suicide increased,but mortality of drowning decreased during the past decade As predicted, suicide will rank the 1st place in the causes of deaths among the residents in Ningxia by 2005 Conclusions Injury was one of major risk factors influencing health and death among the residents in Ningxia, with a temporal trend in its incidence Effective research, prevention and control of traffic accident, suicide, drowning and poisoning should be focused