简单路径依赖模型及其经济学含义分析

An Analysis of the Simple Model of Path Dependence and Its Implications in Economics

路径依赖理论探讨了在收益递增的前提下资源分配的动态过程 ,认为微小事件和偶发事件对经济过程具有重要影响 ,认为这样的动态过程体现出不可预测性、不灵活性、多态均衡性 ,并具有无效均衡的可能性。这一理论是对传统经济理论的一大革新 ,成为解释新经济现象的工具之一。

The theory of path dependence explores the dynamics of allocation under increasing returns. It shows that small events and random events have an important impact on such dynamics, which are characterized by non-predictability, inflexibility, multiple equilibrium and potential inefficiency. This theory is a reform of classical economics and is becoming a new tool of interpretation for new economic phenomena.