概率约束目标规划在经营决策中的应用

Tte Application of Chance-constrained Goal Programming in the Operation Decision

本文讨论了概率约束目标规划的思想和经济含义,并将概率约束目标规划用于经营决策,根据产品的需求情况,用概率来描述企业目标的达成水平。当随机变量的分布及其数字特征未知时,提出用主观概率法确定,同时给出了相应的定理和证明。

In this paper,we discuss the ideology and economic meaning of chance- constrained goal programming,and apply it to operation decision.Accor- ding to the requirement state of the products,we use probability to indi- cate the level of achieving the operation objective of enterprises.When the distribution and numerical character of the random variables are un- known we suggest using subjective probablity method.Meanwhile,we advance some related theorems.