摘要
水资源短缺和水污染是安宁工业区经济发展的重要限制因素。本文将该工业区分解为3个子区,应用系统动态学方法,建立多区相关的工业经济-水资源-水污染系统仿真模型,分别对各子区1985至2000年的工业产值、工业用水差距和水质进行多方案预测。在子区域综合的基础上,结合多级决策树法,筛选出安宁工业区协调工业经济、水资源和水质之间关系的最佳方案。
Water resources shortage and water pollution are the major limiting factors to the economic development of the Anning industrial region. This paper divides the industrial region into 3 sub-regions and establishes a multi-regional interrelated system dynamic model of the system of industry economy-water resources-water pollution in the Anning industrial region. The industrial output value, industrial water supply gap and water pollutant concentration of the 3 sub-regions are predicted for the period 1985 to 2000 with the model. On the basis of the integration of the 3 sub-regions, the optimum scheme for coordinating the industry economy, water resources and water pollution is sifted out by using the multihierarchical decision-making tree method.
出处
《自然资源学报》
CSSCI
CSCD
1991年第4期380-388,共9页
Journal of Natural Resources
关键词
工业经济
水资源
水污染
规划
regionalization and integration
water resources
industry economy
water pollution
multi-regional interrelated system dynamic model
