中国经济增长中消费和投资的确定

Consumption and Investment in Economic Growth in China

本文利用有关统计数据 ,结合我国经济发展的现实 ,论述了我国经济增长、消费和投资发展的历史轨迹 ;采用定性与定量相结合的方法确定了我国合理的消费率、投资率、消费增长率和投资增长率 ,并对消费率和投资率进行了国际比较。本文认为 ,就我国当前情况看 ,无论是消费增长率还是投资增长率 ,都有一个政策作用空间 ,宏观政策的力度不宜超出这个区间。此外 。

An account is given of the historical locus of economic growth, consumption and investment in China using relevant statistical data and starting from the realities in economic development. Reasonable rates of consumption, investment and their respective growth rates are developed based on combined qualitative and quantitative analyses, and a comparison is made on consumption and investment rates in international terms. In the opinion of the author, given China's actual conditions state policies in both consumption growth rate and investment growth rate have limited room for manoeuvre: the intensity of macro-policies should not go beyond this space. Besides, the paper also touches on the reasons of deficient demand in China.