三大需求与经济增长——基于对黔川桂三省的比较研究

Three Key Demands and Economic Growth——Based on the Comparative Study among Guizhou,Sichuan and Guangxi

采用1990～2009年黔川桂三省各自三大需求与地区生产总值的时间序列数据,运用统计比较与计量比较相结合的研究方法,对三省三大需求与经济增长的关系进行了比较研究。研究结果显示:消费对三省经济增长的推动作用不断降低,但对贵州经济的影响仍较显著;投资已成为三省经济增长的最主要动力。另外,出口对三省经济增长的推动作用不明显。

The paper compares the relationship of the key demands and economic growth of Guizhou,Sichuan and Guangxi based on the relative time series data from 1990 to 2009,by using methods of statistical and econometric comparision.The study results show that:the pulling effect of consumption to economic growth of three provinces is becoming reducing,but consumption is still plays a vital role in economic growth of Guizhou;Investment has already been the main power of economic growth of three provinces.In addition,export plays an unimportant role in economic growth of three provinces.