中国对欧盟出口增长的源泉——基于HS-6位产品层次的测算

The Sources of Growth of Chinese Export to European Union——Based on Measurement of HS-6 Product Level

利用CEPII BACI数据库中1995—2004年HS-6位数的欧盟进口贸易数据,考察中国相对世界其它国家较高进口渗透度的源泉。通过分解中国出口增长的三元边际结构,发现1995-2004年间中国的出口增长主要是依靠集约边际的增长。相对数量边际的增长幅度,价格边际的下降幅度却并不显著。在证明存在产品内分工的基础上,通过测算与发达国家出口相似度指数和估算相对质量增长率两种方法,考察中国出口产品的质量维度,结果显示中国对欧盟出口产品质量并没有得到改善。

Using 6-digit HS level data of CEPII BACI database on EU’s imports between 1995 and 2004,this paper analyzes the sources of Chinese high import penetration relative to the rest of the world. Chinese exports are mainly driven by the growth of the intensive margin. With evidence of the existence of within-product specialization,we explore the quality dimension of Chinese export performance by presenting the similarity of Chinese export basket to that of developed countries,and the rate of relative export quality growth. The results show it is no quality upgrading in Chinese export relative to other countries.