需求无转机 价格难走出低谷——2002年锌市场半年评

No uptrend of zinc market demand resulting in zinc price bottom-A review of zinc market in first half year of 2002

文章分析评述了上半年及全年全球锌的生产、消费及市场价格走势。上半年锌价仍处于历史低水平,全年将走不出低谷;新增锌产能大于减产量,全球锌产量将增长1.4%;西方国家锌的消费没有明显改善,全球供应将过剩约37万t。国内锌产量及净出口量将明显下降,主要用锌行业发展迅速。

A review of global zinc market in f irst half year of2002is presented,and zinc output,consumption,and price t rend in2002are forecasted.There is no uptrend of zinc market demand which r esults in bottom zinc price as global zinc output has been on the in-crease,a rise of1.4%as expected on account of newly added annual zinc capacity with the result of a global market surplus of about 370,000t zinc supplied i n2002.It is forecasted that both domestic zinc outputs and net exports of z inc would be considerably decreased.