摘要
首先简单介绍了我国地震预报的科学思路,分析了地震预报能力评价中遇到的各种问题;在此基础上应用R值评分方法,讨论了1990~2000年我国年度地震危险区预测的实际效能,并对当前地震预报能力作了评述.
The scientific idea of earthquake prediction in China is introduced firstly. The various problems on evaluation of earthquake prediction ability are analyzed. The practical effect of prediction on annual seismic risk areas in 1990-2000 in China is discussed based on R-value evaluation method, and the ability of present earthquake prediction in China is reviewed.
出处
《地震学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第5期525-532,共8页
Acta Seismologica Sinica
基金
国家重点基础研究发展规划项目(G19980407)资助
关键词
地震预报
R值评分方法
中国
地震危险区
earthquake prediction
annual consolation
prediction evaluation