贵州省农村生态环境前景预测及生态建设对策

A study on the prospect forecast of rural ecological environment and counter measurs of ecological construction in Guizhou

就运用灰色系统GM(1.1)模型对贵州省农村生态环境前景预测进行了探讨,并运用该模型对耕地面积、森林面积、水土流失面积、工业"三废"排放量及化肥、农药使用量等农村生态环境要素进行发展趋势预测,同时提出了相应的生态建设对策。

The greysystem GM(1.1)model is used to forecast the prospect of rural ecological environment in Guizhou province. The tendency of development on cultivated area, forest area, soil erosion area, quantity of industrcal wast discharge,quantity of chemical ferlilizer and pesticide used by this model is discussed and,forecasted. Counter measures of ecological contruction is put forward.