天然气管道失效可能性分析及模型计算研究

Analysis of failure probability of natural gas pipeline and its model calculation

本文运用层次分析和灰色理论,建立了基于灰色多层次的管道失效可能性分析模型,并运用模型进行了实例计算。结果证明该方法良好,能合理的对管道失效可能性进行分析。

This paper applies analytic hierarchy process and grey theory to establish a probability analysis model of pipelinefailure based on grey multi-hierarchical analysis and makes use of the model to calculate case calculation. The results show that it is anexcellent method that can reasonably analyze the probability of pipeline failure.