预警机生存力评估模型

Evaluation Modeling on Survivability of AWACS

预警机作为C4ISR的空中情报探测中心及指挥控制中心,在信息化作战中具有十分重要的战略和战术价值。针对预警机执行作战任务的特点,通过对战场环境中影响预警机生存力的因素进行分析,结合预警机的作战模式和流程,定义出预警机的生存概率函数。基于该概率函数,建立了一种预警机战场生存力评估模型,并利用蒙特卡洛方法对4种典型的预警机作战场景进行了仿真评估,验证了模型的有效性。最后,结合该模型提出提高预警机在战场中生存的手段。

The AWACS has great tactical and strategic value in modern information battlefield as the Airborne Battlefield Intelligence Detection and Command Center. Based on the characteristics of combat mission,the major influence factors of AWACS’s battleground survivability are analyzed.Combined with the typical combat mode and mission process,a survivability function applied to AWACS is proposed. Based on the survivability function,an evaluation modeling of battleground survivability for AWACS is established. At last,the effectiveness of evaluation modeling is verified by four scenarios using Monte Carlo approach;the effective measures to increase battleground survivability of AWACS based on the evaluation modeling are also discussed.